The Ministry of Health is due to set up a task force to look at the link between the levels of nitrates and bowel cancer that could save up to 50 people a year.
The NZ Herald reported today that between 300,000 and 800,000 New Zealanders may be exposed to potentially harmful levels of nitrates in their drinking water, which may increase their chances of developing bowel cancer.
A study, overseen by Victoria and Otago universities, used overseas research including a major Danish study that found a link with bowel cancer when levels were as low as 0.87mg/L of water.
The current safe level in New Zealand, as mandated by the World Health Organisation is 11mg/L of water.
Victoria University ecologist Mike Joy has been discussing the need for this research with Bowel Cancer Foundation Trust for the past two years, forming a research group to investigate the contribution of nitrates in drinking water to the current bowel cancer rates nationally.
The group applied data from a US study that included a systematic review of 8 other studies. When this data was applied to NZ it suggested that nitrates might be causing around 120 case of bowel cancer or CRC (colorectal cancer) per year, resulting in around 50 deaths.
Newshub reported today that the estimated elevated nitrate levels could be responsible for nearly 300 bowel cancer cases here every year which would indicate over 100 deaths could be prevented.
Dr Joy said in The NZ Herald today that it was a wake-up call for councils which had been far too permissive in allowing high stocking rates on dairy farms.
It had implications for dairying, with cow urine one of the major contributors to increased nitrate levels, he said.
And he believed the safe nitrate level needed to be urgently reassessed.
"This is a decision the Ministry of Health and central government are going to have to take on board. I mean it's been four decades of [farming] intensification that has been unlimited."
The report's author, Jayne Richards, said nitrate in drinking water was "likely to be a significant contributing factor to colorectal [bowel] cancer rates in New Zealand and may be of a similar significance as the established risk factors of consumption of red meat ... processed meat, lack of physical activity and smoking".
However, the study found it was unlikely to be as significant a risk factor as obesity or heavy drinking.
The numbers potentially affected by higher levels jumped markedly depending on whether private drinking water wells were included, from up to 500,000 to as many as 800,000.
While town supply water was regularly tested by councils, private wells were not.
Without this data, Richards relied on extrapolating out the nitrate results she did have for 2500 private wells to the 600,000 homes using their own water supply.
And it was not simply a case of overlaying a map of high nitrate levels with one for rates of bowel cancer either, as cancer rates were only collected on a DHB-wide basis, rather than across individual cities and towns.
Richards described her work as "preliminary" and urged further study of the matter in New Zealand.